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Todays Economy

Part 1

U.S. Economy

6 minutes long

The Bond Market

6 minutes long

Oregon Real Estate Market

6 minutes ong

National Home Prices

6 minutes long

These are links to all the associated documents being referenced

U.S. Economy

  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

  • GDPNow

The Bond Market

  • Federal Funds Rate

  • 2-Year Treasury

  • 10-Year Treasury

  • 30-Year Treasury

  • 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage

  • New Mortgage Originations

Oregon Real Estate Market

  • Median Sold Home Price

  • Monthly Average Mortgage Payment

  • Average Required Annual Income

  • Average Rent for a House

  • Average Rent for an Apartment

National Home Prices

Southwest

  • San Francisco

  • Los Angeles

  • San Diego

Northwest

  • Seattle

  • Portland

Central

  • Dallas

  • Las Vegas

  • Phoenix

  • Denver

Northeast

  • Chicago

  • New York

  • Boston

Southeast

  • Miami

  • Atlanta

  • Tampa

The Stock Market

  • NASDAQ Composite

  • S&P 500

  • The Magnificent 7

  • Price Earning Ratio (P/E)

  • Case-Shiller P/E

​Fear & Greed Index

  • Market Momentum: S&P 500 and its 125-moving average

  • Stock Price Strength: 52-week highs & lows

  • Stock Market Breadth: Volume of stocks rising -vs- stocks falling

  • PUT and CALL Options: 5-day average put/call ratio

  • Safe Haven Demand: Difference in 20-day stock & bond returns

  • JUNK Bond Demand: Yield spread, junk bonds -vs- Investment grade

Bureau of Economic Analysis
GDP
GDPNow
The GDPNow model forecasts GDP growth by aggregating 13 subcomponents that make up GDP with the chain-weighting methodology used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Subcomponent contributions to GDPNow
  1. Consumer Spending (PCE)
  2. Net Exports
  3. Non-residential Fixed Investment
  4. Government Spending
  5. Residential Investment
  6. Change in Private Inventories
  7. Consumption of Durable Goods & Services
  8. Non-durable Goods
  9. Investment in Fixed Captial
Note: The 50-year average 1975 to 2025 = 4.61%
Federal Funds Rate

Probability of a Rate Change

Probability of a Rate Change
Note: The 50-year average 1975 to 2025 = 4.98%
2-Year Treasury
Note: The 50-year average approx. = 5.83%
10-Year Treasury
Note: The 50-year average approx. = 6.00%
30-Year Treasury
Note: The 50-year average = 7.71%
30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
New Mortgage Originations
Realtor.com Median Home Prices
Average Rent / House
Average Rent / Apartment
Case Shiller National Home Price Index
Fed. House Price Index 1975 to Present
Realtor.com Median Home Prices

Southwest

Southwest

San Francisco
Los Angeles
San Diego

Northwest

Seattle
Portland

Central

Dallas
Las Vegas
Phoenix
Denver

Northeast

Chicago
New York
Boston

Southeast

Miami
Atlanta
Tampa
NASDAQ Composite Index
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Up 16.21% over last 12 months
S&P 500
Macrotrends Price Earnings (P/E) Ratio
Shiller Price Earnings (P/E) Ratio
The Case-Shiller P/E ration differs from standard P/E by using the average inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years, rather than just the last 12 months.
CNN Fear Greed Index
December 30th 2025
CNN Fear Greed Index
LINKS
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Bureau of Economic Analysis
GDP
The Stock Market
S&P 500
Macrotrends Price Earnings (P/E) Ratio
Shiller Price Earnings (P/E) Ratio
The Bond Market
Federal Funds Rate
Probability of a Rate Change
2-Year Treasury
10-Year Treasury
30-Year Treasury
30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
New Mortgage Originations
Gold Spot Price
Gold Spot Price
Oregon's Real Estate Home Prices
Realtor.com Median Home Prices
Average Rent / House
Average Rent / Apartment
National Real Estate Home Prices
Case Shiller National Home Price Index
Fed. House Price Index 1975 to Present
Regional Real Estate Home Prices
Southwest
San Francisco
Los Angeles
San Diego
Northwest
Seattle
Portland
Central
Dallas
Las Vegas
Phoenix
Denver
Northeast
Chicago
New York
Boston
Southeast
Miami
Atlanta
Tampa
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